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Three archers shoot at a target. Their shooting successes are independent of each other. Each archer shoots one arrow per round, and there are two rounds.

- Archer A has a 0.6 probability of hitting the target.
- Archer B has a 0.7 probability of hitting the target.
- Archer C has a 0.8 probability of hitting the target.

Answer the following:

(a) What is the probability that Archer A hits the target at least once?

(b) What is the probability that Archer A hits the target twice?

(c) What is the probability that the target is hit in the first round?

(d) What is the probability that the target is hit in both rounds?

(e) What is the probability that the target is hit at least once during the two rounds?

Answer :

a) The probability that Archer A hits the target at least once: To get the probability of Archer A hitting the target, we use the formula P(A) = 0.6,The probability of Archer A hitting the target at least once is P(at least once) = 1 - P(none).

P(none) = P(not A) × P(not A) = 0.4 × 0.4 = 0.16P(at least once) = 1 - 0.16 = 0.84, the probability that Archer A hits the target at least once is 0.84.

b) The probability that Archer A hits the target twice That is, P(hit twice) = 0.6 × 0.6 = 0.36,the probability that Archer A hits the target twice is 0.36.

c) The probability that the target is hit in the first round :Each archer shoots one arrow in each round. So, the target is hit in the first round if Archer A, Archer B, or Archer C hits the target. The probability that the target is hit in the first round is P(hit in the first round) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) = 0.6 + 0.7 + 0.8 = 2.1

d) The probability that the target is hit in both rounds :The probability that the target is hit in both rounds is P(A hits in round 1 and in round 2) = P(A) × P(A) = 0.6 × 0.6 = 0.36.

e) The probability that the target is hit at least once through the two rounds: The target can be hit at least once through the two rounds if one or more archers hit it. The probability that Archer A misses both shots is 0.4 × 0.4 = 0.16. The probability that Archer A hits the target at least once is P(at least once) = 1 - P(none).P(none) = P(not A) × P(not A) = 0.4 × 0.4 = 0.16P(at least once) = 1 - 0.16 = 0.84
P(at least once) = 1 - 0.04 = 0.96
1 - P(none) = 1 - 0.16 × 0.09 × 0.04 = 0.99932 ≈ 1.000

The probability that the target is hit at least once through the two rounds is 1.000.

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