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In a shooting competition the probability of a man hitting a target is 1/5, if he shoots 5 times, what is the probability of hitting the target at least twice?

Answer :

The probability of a man hitting a target at least twice in five shots, with each shot having a 1/5 chance of success, can be calculated using the binomial probability formula and summing the individual probabilities for 2, 3, 4, or 5 successful hits.

To calculate the probability of a man hitting a target at least twice when shooting five times, given a hit probability of 1/5, we need to consider all possible scenarios where he hits 2 or more times.

Firstly, we define the event of hitting the target as a 'success' and not hitting as a 'failure'. The man's probability of 'failure' is 4/5.

We will use the binomial probability formula: P(X = k) = C(n, k) * (p^k) * ((1 - p)^(n - k)), where P(X = k) is the probability of k successes in n trials, C(n, k) is the number of combinations, and p is the probability of success on a single trial.

The probability of hitting the target at least twice (2, 3, 4, or 5 times) is the sum of the individual probabilities of hitting it exactly 2, 3, 4, or 5 times. This sum can be calculated as follows:

  • Probability of hitting exactly 2 times: C(5, 2) * (1/5)^2 * (4/5)^3
  • Probability of hitting exactly 3 times: C(5, 3) * (1/5)^3 * (4/5)^2
  • Probability of hitting exactly 4 times: C(5, 4) * (1/5)^4 * (4/5)^1
  • Probability of hitting exactly 5 times: C(5, 5) * (1/5)^5 * (4/5)^0

Add all the probabilities for 2, 3, 4, and 5 hits to find the combined probability of hitting the target at least twice.

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Rewritten by : Jeany